What does the election mean for New York City Multifamily owners? Will it impact values? Will rents go up or down? Our research team at Marcus & Millichap released a special report highlighting the impact that Trump’s presidency will have on multifamily owners. The election results may redefine the playing field and it is important to understand the implications involved in this governmental change.
The markets are repricing both debt and equity to factor increased government infrastructure and defense spending and preparing for the possibility of higher inflation. In this post, I’ve tried to highlight areas investors should be watching, so, let’s explore 5 election takeaways for NYC Multifamily owners.
1.Congressional gridlock will ease. Single-party control of Congress and the White House increases probability of action. Fiscal policy including tax changes, setting the federal budget and raising the debt ceiling will likely be less contentious.
2.Reduced taxes could favor investors. Reduced business and personal taxes could favor investors, but the details will matter. Potential changes to carried interest may affect developers and fund managers.
3.Short-term stock market volatility. Elevated post-election uncertainty could cause short-term stock market volatility as Wall Street re-calibrates.
4.Potential for rising inflation. Deregulation, infrastructure spending, and reduced taxes may spark economic acceleration and increase inflationary pressure.
5.Upward pressure on interest rates. Anticipation of increased government debt will place upward pressure on Treasury rates
Obviously, a wide range of factors will determine if the campaign rhetoric is put into action. But the U.S. economy now stands in its seventh year of durable but moderate expansion, supporting job creation, wage growth and consumption. Nationally, stable five percent unemployment and 5.5 million unfilled job openings point to a tight labor market and prospects of 2.0-2.5 million new jobs over the next year.
If you would like to explore any of these topics in greater detail, I have posted a link to the entire research report here:
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